Key takeaways

  • Cash runway is months of survival at your current net burn, for Indian startups, adjust for GST, TDS, and collection delays to avoid false comfort.
  • Use the core formula, Runway months = Available Cash divided by Average Monthly Net Burn, but compute both elements carefully using real bank movements, not P&L entries.
  • Build a practical calculator with scenario planning, conservative, base, and optimistic, to see how collections and costs shift your survival window.
  • Download a founder friendly template that maps receivables aging, statutory calendars, and runway dashboards from cash flow dashboard template.
  • Extend runway with focused levers, collections acceleration, vendor term renegotiations, marketing efficiency, and headcount optimization.
  • Automate data ingestion and dashboards to move from monthly firefighting to weekly, even daily, visibility using AI Accountant.
  • Monitor India specific pitfalls, GST timing, DSO, DPO, FX realization, multi entity cash, and avoid mixing accrual figures with cash for runway calculations.
  • Start fundraising before the danger zone, many founders target 12 to 18 months of runway as the healthy band, with weekly recalculations during volatile phases.

Table of contents

What is Cash Runway and Why It Matters for Indian Startups

It is 2 a.m., payroll is due Friday, GST filing knocks tomorrow, and a major client is 45 days late. If you are asking yourself, how long until we run out of cash, you are not alone.

Cash runway is the number of months your startup can operate at its current, or projected, net burn before the bank balance hits zero. It is your financial countdown timer.

India adds complexity. You juggle GST timing, TDS schedules, and delayed enterprise collections, and exporters face FX realization delays. These realities distort a naive runway view that only looks at invoices and expenses.

Two definitions matter most:

  • Gross burn is total monthly cash outflows, salaries, rent, cloud, software.
  • Net burn is cash outflows minus actual collections, this drives runway.

For deeper primers, you can browse three month runway trends, cash runway definitions, and how much runway is enough, but in this guide we stay practical, India first, founder friendly.

The Core Cash Runway Formula for Indian Startups

Runway months = Current Cash Balance divided by Average Monthly Net Burn

Where Net burn = Monthly cash expenses minus operating cash receipts from collections. This is not your P&L, it is money moving in and out of your bank accounts.

Adjust for India specific factors:

  • Step 1, True available cash: Exclude earmarked statutory dues. If ₹5 lakh sits in the account and ₹2 lakh is for next GST, ₹50,000 for TDS, available cash is ₹2.5 lakh.
  • Step 2, Timing complexity: Uneven months, GST payout spikes, annual software renewals, quarterly compliance, monthly payroll.
  • Step 3, Working capital reality: With a 45 day collection cycle, this month’s invoices are not today’s cash. If you enjoy 30 day vendor credit, reflect the lag in outflows.

Use the adjusted view:

Available Cash = Bank Balance minus Reserved for Statutory Dues minus Committed Outflows

Monthly Net Burn = (Fixed Costs plus Variable Costs plus One time payments divided by 12) minus Actual Collections

Runway Months = Available Cash divided by Average Monthly Net Burn

Further reading: cash runway walkthrough, runway trend analysis, startup runway glossary, glossary, cash runway.

Step by Step: Build a How Many Months Runway Calculator

Let us build a calculator that respects Indian realities.

Required inputs

Cash Position

  • Current bank balance
  • Cash reserved for GST, TDS, ESI, EPF
  • Expected collections, week wise for eight weeks, use this cash flow projection template for India
  • Committed receivables with realistic collection dates

Monthly Expenses

  • Fixed costs, salaries, rent, software
  • Variable costs, marketing, travel, utilities
  • Quarterly or annual expenses, compliance, renewals, insurance
  • Statutory payments calendar

Growth Projections

  • Expected revenue growth
  • Planned hiring
  • Marketing increases

Calculation steps

Step 1, Net Available Cash

Net Available Cash = Bank Balance - Statutory Reserves - Committed Outflows + Confirmed Collections (next 30 days)

Step 2, Monthly Net Burn

Fixed Monthly Burn = Salaries + Rent + SaaS + Insurance + Other Fixed Costs
Variable Monthly Burn = Marketing + Travel + Utilities + Other Variable Costs
Statutory Monthly Burn = (Annual Compliance Costs + Quarterly Payments) / 12
Total Monthly Burn = Fixed + Variable + Statutory
Monthly Collections = Average Monthly Revenue × Collection Rate
Net Monthly Burn = Total Monthly Burn - Monthly Collections

Step 3, Scenarios using scenario planning for cash flow in India

  • Conservative, collections 20 percent lower, costs same
  • Base, current trends continue
  • Optimistic, collections up 15 percent, some cost optimization
Months of Runway = MAX(0, Net Available Cash) / Net Monthly Burn

Simple Excel formula

=MAX(0,B2-C2-D2+E2)/((F2+G2+H2)-I2)

B2 Bank Balance, C2 Statutory Reserves, D2 Committed Outflows, E2 Confirmed Collections, F2 Fixed Burn, G2 Variable Burn, H2 Statutory Burn, I2 Monthly Collections

Useful glossaries and explainers: runway trend guide, cash runway models, cash runway glossary.

Downloadable: Runway Planning Excel Template

We created an India specific template to accelerate setup, see the cash flow dashboard template and pair it with aging insights from AR and AP aging charts.

Tab 1, Inputs Dashboard

  • Cash position tracker with statutory reserves
  • Receivables aging buckets, with aging best practices
  • Payables aging with vendor level view
  • GST calendar with due dates
  • TDS and other statutory schedules
  • Debt service schedule

Tab 2, Scenario Planning

  • Base, conservative, and optimistic variants
  • Cost cutting toggles by category
  • Hiring plan with salary projections
  • Marketing spend levers

Tab 3, Dashboard View

  • Runway months by scenario
  • Monthly burn trend chart
  • Cash balance projection for twelve months
  • DSO tracker from India DSO strategies, DPO tracker
  • Statutory payment alerts

Tab 4, Sensitivity Analysis

  • Revenue impact toggles
  • Collection delay scenarios
  • Opex cut options
  • Headcount reduction modeling

How to use

  1. Import bank statements and accounting exports from Tally or Zoho Books
  2. Enter cash position, receivables, payables
  3. Classify spend into fixed, variable, statutory
  4. Run scenario toggles to test outcomes
  5. Update weekly so alerts stay relevant

The template is optimized for Indian data formats, and it flags low runway early.

Extend Runway with Cost Cuts: High Impact Levers

When the dashboard signals a crunch, act quickly, and surgically.

Headcount optimization

  • Calculate fully loaded cost per role, often ₹8 to ₹12 lakh annually
  • Each role eliminated can add roughly one to one and a half months for a ten person team
  • Prioritize non revenue generating roles, consider leadership pay adjustments first

Vendor terms renegotiation

  • Extend cycles to 45 days where possible
  • Push for volume discounts on major SaaS
  • Consolidate vendors to strengthen leverage
  • Use annual plans with discounts when liquidity allows

Marketing efficiency

  • Pause channels with ROAS below three
  • Fund the highest converting campaigns
  • Lean more on organic and content
  • Remove vanity metric spends

Infrastructure and software costs

  • Prefer reserved cloud instances for 30 to 50 percent savings
  • Audit licenses, remove unused seats
  • Negotiate rate cards with higher commitments
  • Adopt open source where it is safe

Admin and office

  • Hybrid work to trim space needs
  • Shared resources, meeting rooms, parking
  • Negotiate rent reductions or deferrals
  • Eliminate non essential perks
Cost Cut Monthly Savings Runway Extension, ₹18L burn
Two positions eliminated ₹1.5L Plus one month
Payment terms extended by 30 days ₹3L one time Plus two weeks
Marketing spend cut by 50 percent ₹2L Plus three weeks
Office downsizing ₹1L Plus two weeks
Total ₹4.5L Plus two and a half months

Collections acceleration

  • Offer early pay discounts, two percent for ten day payment
  • Use invoice finance for large receivables
  • Automate reminders with payment reminder workflows
  • Ask for advances from new customers
  • Reconcile GST input credits faster using GSTR 2B tools

Do not amputate your growth engine, optimize first, then cut.

Build a Runway Dashboard for Founders

A great runway dashboard, see the ultimate dashboards guide, turns ambiguity into action.

Cash position metrics

  • Bank balance, available cash after statutory reserves
  • Months of runway
  • Weekly burn rate
  • Collections versus target

Operating metrics

  • MRR trend
  • DSO and DPO
  • CAC and churn

Alert metrics

  • Upcoming statutory dues
  • Receivables overdue 30 plus days
  • Budget overruns by category
  • Burn rate deviations

Option 1, Sheets first

  1. Import bank and accounting data
  2. Tag transactions by type
  3. Build pivot charts and a runway number
  4. Use conditional formatting for low runway thresholds
  5. Add sparklines for weekly balances

Option 2, Automated with account aggregators, see account aggregator bank feeds in India

  1. Connect bank feeds and accounting
  2. Auto categorize with machine learning
  3. Compute runway continuously
  4. Set alerts for cash events
  5. Use mobile friendly views

Layout

  • Top, big runway number, bank balance, thirty day projection, this month’s burn versus budget
  • Middle, twelve month cash chart, burn trend, collections versus invoicing
  • Bottom, overdue receivables, statutory deadlines, budget variances

Update cadence, daily for balances and major collections, weekly for burn and runway, monthly for full reconciliation.

Indian Startup Cash Flow Pitfalls and How to Avoid Them

Mixing P&L with cash flow

Accrual invoices are not cash. Use bank movements for runway, ignore non cash items like depreciation or ESOP charges.

GST timing mismatches

GST cycles can distort your view. Maintain separate GST tracking, see GST reconciliation automation, and do not treat GST collected as operating cash.

Revenue recognition versus cash

Enterprise cycles stretch to ninety days frequently. Use aging schedules, only count confirmed collections for near term runway.

Multi entity complexity

Consolidate cash, track intercompany separately, handle FX delays for export revenues, and different statutory calendars per entity.

Seasonality and cyclicality

Use twelve month trailing averages and scenario tests so one strong or weak month does not mislead decisions.

Working capital missteps

  • Monitor DSO, DPO, and inventory days
  • Reduce DSO with better processes
  • Extend DPO responsibly
  • Minimize inventory holding

Reference perspective: how much runway is enough.

Worked Example: SaaS Startup Runway Calculation

Meet Priya, founder of a B2B SaaS, using metrics from the SaaS metrics dashboard India guide.

Current financial position

  • Bank, ₹1.8 crore
  • GST reserve, ₹12 lakh
  • TDS and other dues, ₹3 lakh
  • Net available cash, ₹1.65 crore

Monthly expenses

  • Salaries, ₹25 lakh
  • Office rent, ₹2 lakh
  • Cloud, ₹1.5 lakh
  • Marketing, ₹4 lakh
  • Other, ₹1.5 lakh
  • Total burn, ₹34 lakh

Revenue and collections

  • Monthly invoicing, ₹18 lakh
  • Actual collections, ₹16 lakh
  • Net monthly burn, ₹18 lakh

Receivables

  • Outstanding, ₹30 lakh, 0 to 30, 30 to 60, 60 plus days
  • Expected collections next thirty days, ₹20 lakh

Base case

Available Cash = ₹165L
Net Monthly Burn = ₹18L
Runway = 165 ÷ 18 = 9.2 months

Scenario 1, Business as usual, collections ₹16L, burn ₹18L, runway 9.2 months

Scenario 2, Conservative, collections drop to ₹12L, net burn ₹22L, runway 7.5 months

Scenario 3, Cost cutting, headcount minus three saves ₹5L, marketing minus fifty percent saves ₹2L, office downsize saves ₹1L, burn ₹26L, net burn ₹10L, runway 16.5 months

Scenario 4, Growth mode, collections ₹22L, burn ₹38L, net burn ₹16L, runway 10.3 months

Action plan, protect collections with weekly reviews, prep a cost playbook that triggers if collections fall below ₹14L for two months, start fundraising now so you have options, and negotiate 60 day vendor terms.

How Automation Reduces Manual Runway Tracking Work

Automation compresses effort from hours to minutes, improves accuracy, and creates real time visibility.

Automated bank statement processing

Real time accounting integration

  • Sync Tally and Zoho Books, see Zoho Books automation
  • Auto match receipts to invoices
  • Update projections instantly

Predictive modeling

  • Pattern based collection forecasts
  • Seasonality adjustments
  • Runway threshold alerts
  • Suggestion engine for cost levers

Dashboards on autopilot

  • Daily runway recompute
  • Trend visualizations
  • Mobile alerts for variance
  • Board ready summaries

Compliance automation

  • GST reminders with cash impact
  • TDS schedules integrated
  • Input credit reconciliations
  • Vendor payment scheduling

Security

ROI

  • Manual runway tracking, 4 to 6 hours monthly
  • Automated review, roughly 15 minutes monthly
  • Fewer errors, faster action

Tools like AI Accountant are built for India, GST, TDS, and multi entity setups, so you get accuracy with less effort.

Your Action Plan: Implementing Runway Tracking Today

Week 1, Foundation

  • Download the template from the cash flow dashboard template
  • Gather six months of bank statements
  • Export Tally or Zoho Books data
  • Map your top twenty expense categories
  • Compute current burn from actual cash movements

Week 2, Calculator

  • Set up the months of runway calculator with real data
  • Create conservative, base, optimistic scenarios
  • Compute DSO and DPO
  • Lay out the statutory calendar, GST, TDS, ESI
  • Ring fence compliance reserves

Week 3, Dashboard

  • Build your founder dashboard
  • Define weekly update workflows
  • Enable mobile views
  • Set alert thresholds, runway below six months, burn up more than twenty percent
  • Share views with advisors

Week 4, Process

  • Weekly runway review, thirty minutes every Monday
  • Collections follow ups to improve DSO
  • Negotiate vendor terms
  • Prepare cost playbooks by scenario
  • Start fundraising if runway is below twelve months

Ongoing

  • Update actuals monthly
  • Refresh assumptions
  • Variance analysis, projected versus actual burn
  • Improve categorization
  • Communicate runway status to stakeholders

Emergency triggers

  • Below nine months, moderate cuts
  • Below six months, aggressive cuts and emergency funding
  • Below three months, survival mode and bridge

Key tools

Your runway is the most important metric, master it, and you earn clarity and peace of mind.

FAQ

As a CA advising startups, how frequently should I recompute runway for a client with volatile collections?

Weekly recomputation is prudent when collections are volatile, with a monthly hard close for reconciliations. Encourage the finance team to maintain a rolling thirty day collections forecast inside a dashboard, ideally built via an automated tool like AI Accountant, so deviations trigger alerts immediately.

What is a healthy months of runway range for Indian startups, pre Series A versus growth stage, in your professional view?

Pre Series A, many operate with 6 to 9 months, which is risky. A healthier band is 12 to 18 months, giving time to execute, and negotiate calmly. Growth stage companies should target 15 months or more, since sales cycles and fundraises are longer.

How do I reconcile runway with accrual P&L under Ind AS, when clients keep mixing invoices with cash?

Runway is a cash construct. Start from bank balances, subtract statutory reserves and committed outflows, then divide by average net burn based on cash expenses minus cash collections. Keep accrual P&L for profitability analysis, but never for runway. Use AI Accountant to auto tag bank transactions, and produce cash only reports alongside accruals.

How should I factor GST and TDS obligations into runway for a multi state client?

Create a statutory reserve schedule by jurisdiction, GST, TDS, ESI, EPF, and subtract it from available cash. Do not treat GST collected as operating cash. Use a compliance calendar within the dashboard, or the GST modules highlighted in GST reconciliation automation, to keep reserves accurate.

What is the correct way to compute net burn when there are annual prepaid SaaS and insurance payments?

Amortize one time payments into a monthly equivalent for burn analysis, for example, divide by twelve, while still managing the actual cash spike in the cash flow plan. Your formula then becomes Fixed plus Variable plus Statutory plus Amortized one offs, minus actual collections.

Clients ask whether to include expected funding in runway, what do you advise?

Exclude expected funds unless legally committed. Present two scenarios to the board, runway without funding, and with funding if it lands on a specific date. This clarifies urgency and negotiation position, without overestimating safety.

How do I treat intercompany transfers and FX realization for an exporter while calculating runway?

Compute runway per entity first, then create a consolidated view. Separate intercompany balances from operating cash, and model FX realization delays explicitly in the collections schedule. AI Accountant can tag intercompany flows and track pending FX credits so the runway line excludes non free cash.

What is a practical method for building a conservative collections forecast for runway?

Use receivables aging, apply historical recovery rates per bucket, for example, 0 to 30 days at 90 percent, 30 to 60 at 70 percent, 60 plus at 40 percent, and only include the resulting amount in the next thirty to sixty days. This creates a defendable, conservative collections plan.

Which three metrics should a founder see at the top of a runway dashboard every morning?

Available cash after statutory reserves, months of runway at current net burn, and this month’s collections versus target. Add a weekly burn rate chip. Tools like AI Accountant can surface these on mobile with daily refresh.

How do I justify cost cuts to the board while protecting growth, any framework you recommend?

Use an efficiency first ladder, cut vanity spend, reallocate to high ROI channels, then renegotiate vendors, and only then consider headcount. Pair each lever with runway extension impact. For example, a marketing optimization saving ₹2L adds roughly three weeks at ₹18L net burn, which can be shown on the runway chart.

For product companies, how do inventory purchases distort runway, and how do I correct for it?

Inventory is a cash use, not immediate revenue. Treat planned inventory buys as committed outflows in the cash plan, and track inventory days. Reduce SKU bloat and improve turns to release cash. Model seasonality explicitly, do not rely on a simple monthly average.

Can an AI based tool replace monthly manual reconciliations for runway accuracy?

It should not replace reconciliations, it should compress and systematize them. With AI Accountant, bank feeds, OCR, and ML tagging reduce effort from 4 to 6 hours to about 15 minutes of review, with exception handling and audit trails, while you still perform a monthly close for assurance.

Discover more from AI Accountant

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading